2020-08-14 • Updated
What are the forecasts for the oil market? Is there any hope of a recovery?
The International Energy Agency decreased its forecasts for the oil market on Thursday. Indeed, the coronavirus ruined the oil demand. Therefore, the Agency can’t give any optimistic guidelines. You might think that international borders have opened, and all the people, that waited for so long, broke out travelling. However, according to official data, there is still a low demand for jet fuel. Many countries have recently recorded fresh virus outbreaks, especially Europe and Latin America, where the coronavirus is spreading at a quite high speed.
Things are not so terrible as it may seem, OPEC+ members made all efforts to contain the prices at the current levels for almost two months. They have made enormous cuts of oil production, which pushed oil prices a little bit higher. Nevertheless, the prices are still well below pre-crisis levels, and they are unlikely to fully rebound soon.
Moreover, Libya’s port blockade will keep the North African’s crude oil out of the world market. Libya's oil export terminals are occupied. Therefore, it should help with the world’s supply glut. According to Bloomberg, Libya’s oil production dropped by 40% since July. It’s anticipated to be 1.2 million barrels in August. On the one hand, this blockade has made the devastating damage on the whole Libyan economy. On the other hand, it may decrease the world’s oversupply and push oil prices higher.
The Brent oil is slowly moving upward. There is the strong resistance at 200-day moving average at $46.50. It’s more likely the price will bounce off this resistance. However, if it manages to break it out, it will open doors to the key psychological mark at $50.00 at the 61.8% Fibonacci level. Sooner or later it should reach this level. Support levels are $43.50 and $42.00.
Important! To trade Brent oil with FBS you need to choose BRN-20V.
Saudi Arabia and Russia, two of the world's largest oil producers, have decided to extend cuts to their oil production to support oil prices and boost income. This move comes despite weakened demand due to the sluggish economy.
Oil prices fell to a three-month low following the release of US inflation data which was in line with expectations. The annual inflation rate of 6%...
Western countries are trying to find other options for oil and gas supplies after a 10th package of sanctions, which will put more pressure on Russian oil and decrease global oil supply. Italy, for example, is in talks with Libya.
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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